Le défi face au déclin de la production

Tainter-Patzek (2012) Fig.3,10 In their 2008 World Energy Outlook, the International Energy Agency stated that we might have a 6.7% decline of the global oil production rate, not the mere 2% or 4% also shown here. Ghawar in Saudi Arabia (the top horizontal line) is the largest oil-producing oilfield in the world. The current global enhanced oil recovery and Canadian tar sand production are shown as the middle and lowest horizontal lines, respectively. We will have to add an equivalent of the Ghawar every 1-4 years, depending on the rate of oil production decline, and this is clearly impossible.

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